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Track record

Case studies

Six mandates, organised by the decision each one turned on. Clients are not named and figures are stated as ranges or ratios where absolute values remain commercially sensitive.

Some clients appear more than once. Long relationships are the point.

Three distinct industrial automation modules on an ivory analytical desk beside financial model sheets and a brass rule
THE PRICE DECISIONINDUSTRIAL AUTOMATION · BRAZIL

Three acquisition targets. No reported EBITDA survived normalization.

A buy-side program across three targets where reported earnings could not carry the asking price.

3 targets screened
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A compact clinical equipment case halted before a threshold of light, with an intact navy structure behind it
THE STOP DECISIONMEDICAL DEVICES · BRAZIL–USA

Stopping was the hard call. Not over-correcting was the harder one.

A US subsidiary built ahead of regulatory clearance, and the cost of holding it open while unable to sell.

≈ USD 2M operating burn avoided
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Four navy credit facility binders aligned beside an ivory contract, a single clause marked only by a thin gold line
THE PREMIUM DECISIONINDUSTRIAL GROUP · BRAZIL

The lender quoted a prepayment premium. The contract said the premium was zero.

A promised debt saving rebuilt from the loan agreements, where a single discounting clause carried the value.

4 facilities at 18–23% p.a.
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Sixteen anonymous navy folders in a four-by-four grid on an ivory desk, one raised slightly, a brass liquidity disc outside the grid
THE PREPAYMENT DECISIONMEDICAL DEVICES · BRAZIL

The interest the company expected to avoid was not actually there.

A tax recovery earmarked for debt prepayment, where the interest saving did not survive discounting.

16 facilities reviewed
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A fixed brass bar held level inside a navy frame while a floating metal curve passes above without touching it
THE HEDGE DECISIONINDUSTRIAL GROUP · BRAZIL

A bank offered to swap a subsidised fixed rate for a floating one. We said no.

A swap proposal that would have traded a contracted funding advantage for an unbounded one.

Subsidised development-bank facility
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Translucent model sheets in controlled disorder converging into a single ivory panel inside a navy frame, a gold runway line ending early
THE VISIBILITY DECISIONFOOD & AGRIBUSINESS · BRAZIL

A model with 62 tabs. Under two months of cash. The founder knew neither.

An expansion plan resting on a sixty-two-tab model, and the runway it was hiding.

62-tab model rebuilt
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How we handle confidentiality

Engagements are anonymised at client request. We publish the situation, the analysis and the outcome; we do not publish names, figures that would identify a party, or details of live negotiations.

Where a case describes a decision that is still being executed, it is written in the tense of the decision as it was taken — not as a permanent state of affairs.

References are available under NDA, at the appropriate stage of a conversation.

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